black swan fallacy

名词 n.

英文释义

名词 n.
  1. The logical error of discounting the possibility of something because no evidence has yet been observed for it.
    — The black swan fallacy holds that if all you have ever observed in your field research are white swans, you might be tempted to conclude 'All swans are white'. However, a black swan was discovered in Australia. Therefore, all it takes is one black swan to falsify the general statement about the universality of white swans.

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